I heard a comedian talk about downloads, saying:
- oh, those poor millionaires losing money!
- it's happened before - does anyone remember the great 'recording songs off the radio crisis'?
I agree it's theft and it's wrong, however another way to look at it (like illegal software) it to consider that the risk should be quantified and decide what is an acceptable level of illegal copying.
Blockbuster movies makes hundreds millions of dollars of profit. Crap movies don't. Studios live or die by making blockbusters. They don't die because of illegal copies.
In many cases, as Uncle Max said, there are places where you simly can't buy the discs, either because they aren't there or people in poor countries can't afford them. Also, in poor countries, broadband isn't available so my mates in the Ukraine buy a $2 copy of a DVD because they don't know what p2p downloads are.
If movie downloads were somehow made impossible, there might be an uplift in cinema ticket sales - but that wouldn't sell more DVD's. My guess is that people download movies for the following reasons:
- Outside the US, we can't wait to see the movie (although European releases are getting faster now)
- Can't find the movie to buy it/rent it
- Can't be bothered to go to the DVD rental place
As technology moves on, it's up to the producers to make original purchases more interesting.
- Like re-releasing VHS movies on DVD so we all had to buy our favourite movies again
- Or hey, re-releasing DVD movies on high definition disc
- Adding interesting special features so that we want to buy the complete disc
Overall, I don't think the movie producers should cry "foul" and try to shut down networks, I think they should get down to the business of making better products and find the channels to sell them.
=DM=