I guess SaaS neither meets your dividend requirements, nor your momentum ones. It is one of the few areas I see with value still.
Not sure, probably there are some that meet my requirements. I always find enough companies for the dividend strategy. At the moment I don’t find anything for the gambling strategy.
Luxury problem, just took out some summer money on credit and the dividends and sales have to pay for that first.
Reminder: in the dividend strategy I use a pull mechanism; whenever there is money around that cannot be invested in increasing a current position, I pull in a new company. In the gambling portfolio the other way around, push mechanism. Whenever I find a company that is worth buying I sell (push out) the worst holding to get the money for it.
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I bett it’s harder for momentum right now as it feels there’s a little bit of a rotation going on. For a dividend strategy I believe there’s always plenty of candidates.
Quickly flipping through my portfolio I feel that some stuff is expensive, but a bunch of companies are still very buyable (for me).
E.g. AGM, AMCR, BTI, CI, CMCSA, EIX, IMB, INGR, LGEN, MO, OMC. OZK, PAX, SJM, T, TSCO, VICI, VZ.
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But remember my job title: Managing Siesta Director…
In my dividend portfolio the following are still on buy: FLO, T, GIS, IBM, GILD, O, MET, MO, ABBV, HST, MRK, VTRS.
But then there are the sector rules, to much health, so no GILD, ABBV, MRK and VTRS, sector weights more than 20%.
Those positions are already too big:
IBM, MET, HST MO.
That leaves to buy FLO, T, GIS, O. Lucky I am in debt and not in a hurry to buy something.
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Surprised that your rules tell you ABBV is still on your buy list (except it’s capped by your sector weight rule).
For me it’s a hold at its current valuation:
I mean it’s a great company and I hold a fair bit myself in my portfolio, but to me it looks a little bit expensive right now.
I’d sold ABBV at ATH around 2022, and now it is >50% higher!
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About ABBV:
Indeed, it does. Will have to update my table, because it got a bit too expensive for my EV/FCF parameter. Not too much and very recently, I normally check every quarter and before each trade. At the moment it would go to “hold”.
Thanks for mentioning that. 
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How’bout SB? Your privacy choices
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SB looks nice, rising. However, my captain thinks it is no fit for me at the moment, got already a bit expensive.
I hold some shipping stocks, Costamare (CMRE), Seaboard(SEB) and of course Fedex (FDX and the spinoff FDXF). Another one from the transportation sector is my newest addition, the truck company Werner Industries (WERN).
Probably there will be a sector shift to transportation soon. At the moment I am still heavy in oil and stay there until a change is visual for my captain.
This week Constellium (Ex- Alusuisse) is one year in my gambling portfolio with a performance of +103.94% (without pre-market today). Usually I charge a rent (do partially sell) after a year, except when it is still on buy.
Now CSTM is still on buy. There is only one situation I partly sell when it is still on buy: after a gain of 500%.
Actually it looks even cheaper than a year ago when I bought for less than half the price: the earnings growth YoY quarterly is at +437% according to yahoo. I suppose it is because the aluminium price went through the roof:
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Time to buy ORCL stock? FCF is shot due to AI investment, but AI is still in growth phase and demand should still outstrip supply.
When Larry sells his yacht without buying an even more expensive one it is time to buy Oracle. Probably never…
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As Larry
turns 82 in about a month or so he will soon require a new yacht that can suit a rollator and has an elevator between the different ship floors … 
Back to simply stock trading. This one is fun to look at through the lens of FASTgraphs.
Earnings: BUY BUY BUY!
Free Cash Flow: SELL SELL SELL!
I’ll go with FCF …
I kind of hate this guy … he killed Solaris – the probably best commercial UNIX operating system – and buried MySQL during my workforce lifetime. Java as well but who ever cared about Java anyways? I’m sure he has other skeletons rotting in the basements of his residences before my time … but that’s just business as usual and capital at work, I guess.
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In different news I bought about $1000 more in yearly income from more 
, 
supply and 
yesterday after selling some money (BND) and re-investing some dividends that were idly sitting around in depreciating cash:
| Ticker | Date | Buys |
|---|---|---|
| DPZ | 07/06/2026 | 5 |
| TSCO | 07/06/2026 | 30 |
| VICI | 07/06/2026 | 100 |
Also considering buying back my DPZ 19MAR27 240 P that I sold for ~$1’500 just about two weeks ago since it’s now available for just about a thousand bucks. I usually ride these Puts for many months – after all, they’re called Stillhaltergeschäfte in German, which means to “hold still” on owning these short Puts – until they’re worth much less (or expire worthless), but pocketing about 500 bucks for putting at risk $24k for 2 weeks is really tempting …
Ok, I bought it back. I wasn’t even greedy enough. Looked at market data, last price looked like $1025 for this contract, put in a limit order for $1k that got filled like instantly. Should have approached it from $900 working upwards … oh, well, I am Goofy after all. Need to keep cementing my name and reputation.
My spreadsheet says 54.31% annualized return on this baby …
Yay for !
This was just trading fun, not to be confused with investing, for those reading along and paying attention.
He sued over Android’s use of java too…
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I’m a bit sceptical that the big datacenter buildouts will go according to plan. I feel that it will be more difficult than anticipated and a lot of the big plans will fail to materialize or be delayed.
This would benefit investors in encumbants in 2 ways:
- Less competition, high demand, less supply, prices go up
- If encumbants also fail to build out, then maybe the investment spend is tempered - technically this reduces (future) profits, but reduces risk and juices short term profits.
However this turns out, energy will be needed.
Got my CEG in 2022 at $58.70, my second oldest position in the gambling strategy at the moment. However, did correct a lot. Lucky my captain made me sell some at $343, already took out more than I did put in and still hold a nice position:
The captain is clever, he makes pay the positions for themselves with two concepts: the yearly rent and the sell at every 500% gain. Both are partial sells and aim to reduce risk.
Don’t talk about winners only I was told. Of course one likes winners more than losers, but in investing to know how to lose is more important.
At the moment I have 5 double-digit loser in my gambling portfolio:
Not that bad in a portfolio of 37 positions. And all of them are with me less than 6 months and probably will not make it to a year.
There can be no triple digit loss, as 100% is all you can lose on a position. But the gains are unlimited. There are currently 7 stocks with triple digit gains:
I did read a lot of books about trading, way over a 100. Often one book describes a strategy completely opposite to another one. You always have to take books with a grain of salt. But in one point they almost always agree: it is more important to know how to lose then how to win. Losing is part of trading, always, the cost of doing business. Everybody knows how to win but knowing how to lose is more important. The only way to address losers is to cut them as soon as possible.
At the moment I did not find a single stock to buy in my gambling portfolio for more than one month, FDXF was just a spin-off. That means I keep positions (losers) maybe a bit longer (remember, push philosophy). That is usually bad but not always. Some positions just need space and time to grow. Others are born losers. But you cannot tell the difference in advance.
Lucky to have kept the oil stocks, seems the Iran war is not over yet.
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Nice article on Adobe:
https://www.makeuseof.com/end-of-an-era-for-adobe-creative-software/
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