Simply stock trading

I had that from people when I mentioned bitcoin in 2009/2010.

Then when bitcoin entered mainstream media and started to go up in value people complained and said “why didn’t you bang the drum harder?!” Note this was not a bitcoin/investment discussion but a discussion group for people discussing difficulties of getting on the housing ladder in the UK (which later drifted into a general discussion group amoung regulars).

The joke was that bitcoin price when they complained was something like $100 or $1000 :joy:

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FFS, are they for real? I had to blink when I heard it myself… Who do they think we are to “push them”, anyway? Bottom line is that people detest accountability in my opinion and experience. Market goes up and they missed it? “You didn’t push me hard enough”. Market goes down 3% and they panic sell? “You pushed me and I lost money”.

That’s how I learnt to keep quiet, realistically “the market” and equity investments aren’t for everyone.

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Yup. A good deed never goes un-punished!

I agree. Best keep your mouth shut. I don’t like to talk about such stuff in normal settings, only with geeks who are into investing or technology etc.

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Interesting. I think financial literacy should be spread more, so I’m happy to actively address the topic amount friends and family.

I have never had such a reaction among the people that I talked to.

Hahaha, that literally happened with my brother :rofl:

Yeah but you see - two members note that it happened to them, too.

Totally agree! Especially equity investing. I hate RE, feel it’s ignorant (more risky, yet the risk averse want to buy a house because it’s “tangible”), encourages feudalism, roots people into place, and overall I feel that risk taking in equities encourages better psychology for money - people need to let the money leave their hands to grow it.

The specific situation was missing potential earnings. 5 or 6 months after investing, bro was desperate to cash because he “needed” to buy a new car. Emphasis on survival level of “need”. He cashed out with 7% or so yield. I stayed one more year and it became like 50+% yield, don’t remember exactly.

I was young and dumb and mentioned the fact one year later and problems started…he didn’t like the car in the end, I should have talked up the investment and talked down the car. Somehow, it was kind of my problem.

These days, I barely survive managing money along with my wife, more than enough adventure. I don’t need to look for extra excitement of discussing among friends and family. As Phil_MCR mentioned, only talk with people that already know what they’re doing and are open and honest.

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You left out the case where the stocks rise. In such a case it’s the result of their impeccable investment prowess rather than your prudent advice.

Define successful.

As I mentioned before, Peter Lynch did like 28% CAGR during 20 years with his fund. Even with that performance his clients managed to lose money because they bought high and sold low.

It is not the same looking at a long term chart and see that you always did recover losses and feeling those losses. Our brain is not made for that.

My way is a mechanical strategy with clearly defined actions in a bear market. But making rules is easy, the difficult part is following them.

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  • Have low fees. Benchmark being IBKR.
  • reach a performance close to FTSE All-World index

Of course that’s very simplistic. Still, a good way to start - and already a high bar - for non-financial people.

OK, that is a low bar. There are more indices than stocks and there are even more ETF that follow those indices. But guess what, picking is not the most important part. Money- and position management is.

Buy and hold one ETF is a sufficiently good strategy, but if you have more than one ETF and want to gain from Shannon’s demon you need some kind of strategy.

The most important of any strategy: define what to do when losing. Strong rules that you (or your friend) know you can follow. Don’t buy high and sell low.

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I think 90% of citizens in Switzerland will never reach this bar.

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My own little bar is even lonelier (but also less fancy than the FTSE All World one).

Cheers!

  :wink:


In the vein of silly posts: I bought some Micron into my son’s portfolio about 4 years ago. Paid $68 a piece. My son was even protesting at the time because they have some of their production in Taiwan … which is close to … CHY-NA!

He hasn’t complained recently.

(but sure will, when the AI bubble pops, if ever)

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That index is basically US IT with some additions. Each of its ten largest positions is US IT except TSM which is Taiwanese IT.

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It’s a diversifiit index, I suppose.

(I’ll see myself out)

I know it’s not ideal. But it’s simple and understandable for a beginner (i.e. 90% of the population of Switzerland). What’s your suggestion for success?

Don’t rely on any index, they’re just used as marketing tool. That’s particularly evident with the Nasdaq-100.

Question to all: Any opinions on Cargurus Inc (CARG)?

I wouldn’t be fundamentally opposed based on the … ahem … basic FASTgraph:

Of course, it pays no dividend, so 100% exclusion criteria for me (but please ignore that for now).

Going forward, they seem to be doing all right, but I’m probably anyways the wrong person to consult for non-dividend payers.

I like that it’s small’ish cap, somewhat reasonable debt level, mostly stable outlook on future earnings

Quite the contrary, the more the merrier. Thx.

The ideal response points me to holes I’ve overlooked because I’m thinking of buying. But I don’t mind to hear something like “looks good”.

I don’t see the advantage. It is an easy kind of business, company is not cheap, earnings are not growing and the chart shows weakness. Where is the edge on that trade?